Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.003835 0.004202 0.004595 0.005050 0.005561 0.006121 0.006781
2025-09-07 0.003215 0.003724 0.004309 0.005036 0.005922 0.006974 0.008332
2025-09-14 0.002939 0.003534 0.004251 0.005188 0.006396 0.007920 0.010025
2025-09-21 0.002636 0.003258 0.004036 0.005092 0.006515 0.008399 0.011145
2025-09-28 0.002398 0.003033 0.003850 0.004997 0.006601 0.008816 0.012204
2025-10-05 0.002236 0.002887 0.003747 0.004992 0.006794 0.009382 0.013530
2025-10-12 0.002133 0.002808 0.003723 0.005085 0.007124 0.010170 0.015283
2025-10-19 0.001994 0.002668 0.003599 0.005020 0.007209 0.010588 0.016493
2025-10-26 0.001887 0.002563 0.003516 0.005003 0.007358 0.011112 0.017942
2025-11-02 0.001776 0.002444 0.003403 0.004929 0.007406 0.011471 0.019141
2025-11-09 0.001706 0.002380 0.003363 0.004964 0.007627 0.012137 0.020988
2025-11-16 0.001621 0.002287 0.003274 0.004911 0.007696 0.012541 0.022392
2025-11-23 0.001515 0.002161 0.003131 0.004766 0.007607 0.012678 0.023334
2025-11-30 0.001448 0.002090 0.003069 0.004752 0.007747 0.013253 0.025288
2025-12-07 0.001421 0.002078 0.003099 0.004893 0.008176 0.014422 0.028729
2025-12-14 0.001348 0.001989 0.003001 0.004804 0.008170 0.014739 0.030310
2025-12-21 0.001281 0.001907 0.002907 0.004716 0.008156 0.015034 0.031895
2025-12-28 0.001235 0.001857 0.002862 0.004711 0.008302 0.015678 0.034456
2026-01-04 0.001209 0.001837 0.002867 0.004797 0.008635 0.016763 0.038379
2026-01-11 0.001159 0.001775 0.002797 0.004737 0.008665 0.017180 0.040607
2026-01-18 0.001119 0.001729 0.002752 0.004721 0.008784 0.017815 0.043585
2026-01-25 0.001074 0.001671 0.002682 0.004653 0.008783 0.018169 0.045824
2026-02-01 0.001048 0.001644 0.002664 0.004685 0.009003 0.019079 0.049977